ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati, quarterfinals

Sinner – Rublev: August 17, 2024 7:00 p.m. CEST
H2H: 5-3

Jannik Sinner has won four of his last five matches. The world number one battled the illness earlier this month. Two weeks ago, Jannik reached the quarterfinals in Montreal, where he lost to Rublev in three close sets. The Italian was not 100% fit and looked tired on the court. Rain interruptions forced him to play two matches in one day, which made things more complicated for him. However, Jannik could not defend the title in Montreal. Here in Cincinnati, Jannik won his first match against Michelsen in two close sets, as we predicted. After that, in the round of 16, Jordan withdrew from the tournament, allowing Sinner to advance to the quarterfinals without having to play his round of 16 match. Last year in Cincinnati, Jannik lost to Dusan Lajovic in the second round of the tournament.

Andrey Rublev has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Montreal, Andrey reached the final, where he lost to Popyrin in straight sets. It was a solid performance from the Russian. Here in Cincinnati, Rublev won his first match against Zhang in straight sets. After that, Rublev defeated Nakashima again in straight sets in the round of 16.

Best bet

According to the bookmakers, Sinner is the favorite in this matchup. We already saw last week in Montreal that Rublev could win against Sinner. He has a good momentum, so we believe the Russian will keep this match exciting and get his chances.

Apart from that, It is a worthwhile bet that Rublev will cover the handicap of the game.

Value bet/best odds: Andrey Rublev +3.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365

Hurkacz – Tiafoe: 08/18/2024 01:00 CEST
H2H: 3-3

Hubert Hurkacz has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Montreal, Hubert reached the quarterfinals where he lost to Popyrin, who eventually won the tournament in three close sets. Here in Cincinnati, Hurkacz won his first match against Nishioka in three sets. Yesterday, in the round of 16, Hubert defeated Cobolli again in three sets.

Frances Tiafoe has won three of her last five matches. Last week in Montreal, as we predicted, Frances lost to Tabilo in the first round. Here in Cincinnati, Tiafoe defeated Davidovich Fokina in straight sets. The first set was a rollercoaster ride, but Frances managed to win the set after trailing 1-3. He was also behind in the second set, but again kept calm and won in straight sets. In the second round, as we predicted, Tiafoe defeated Musetti in straight sets. Yesterday, in the round of 16, the American won in three close sets against Lehecka after spending nearly three hours on court. Last year in Cincinnati, Tiafoe lost in straight sets to Wawrinka in the second round.

Best bet

According to the bookies, it should be a 50-50 match. After a few grueling matches, we believe Tiafoe will be tired against Hurkacz. Hubert spent much less time on the court this week, so we believe this will be a major factor in this matchup.

Apart from that, A win for Hurkacz is a worthwhile bet.

Value Bet/ best odds: Hubert Hurkacz wins @1.67 @bet365

Photo credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports