Best bets on the ATP US Open, including Nakashima vs. Musetti

Best bets on the ATP US Open, including Nakashima vs. Musetti

ATP US Open 1/16-finals

Griekspoor – Dimitrov: 30.08.2024 Time to be announced
H2H: First meeting

Tallon Griekspoor has lost three of his last five matches. Here in New York, Tallon won his first round match against Nagal in straight sets. Then Baez retired in the second round midway through his match against Griekspoor. With such a favorable draw, Griekspoor achieved his best result here at the US Open. Last year in New York, Griekspoor lost in the first round to Fils in five close sets.

Grigor Dimitrov has won three of his last five matches. Before the US Open, Dimitrov failed in both of his preparation tournaments. However, Grigor won his opening match against Jacquet in straight sets. Yesterday, in the second round, Dimitrov won again in straight sets, this time against Hijikata. Grigor served well throughout the match and only faced one break point. Last year in New York, Dimitrov lost in the third round to Zverev.

Best bet

According to the bookies, Griekspoor is the big underdog in this matchup. Both players didn’t spend much time on court in their first matches. Griekspoor has played great tennis so far and we believe he can keep this match close. Dimitrov usually underperforms on the biggest stage, so we’ll back Griekspoor.

Apart from that, Griekspoor covering the handicap of the game is a value bet.

Value Bet/best odds: Tallon Griekspoor +5.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365

Nakashima – Musetti: 30.08.2024 Time to be announced
H2H: 0-1

Brandon Nakashima has won four of his last five matches. Two weeks ago in Cincinnati, Nakashima reached the round of 16 when he lost to Rublev in straight sets. Here in New York, Brandon won his first round match against Rune in straight sets. After that, in the second round, Brandon defeated Cazaux, also in straight sets. At the beginning of the season, Nakashima spent most of his time at Challenger Tour level. However, his consistent tennis brought him back into the top 50. Last year at the US Open, Brandon lost his first round match against Djere in straight sets.

Lorenzo Musetti has won three of his last five matches. Two weeks ago in Cincinnati, Lorenzo lost to Tiafoe in straight sets in the round of 16. Before that, at the Paris Olympics, Musetti defeated Auger-Aliassime as we predicted to secure the 3rd place medal. Here in New York, Musetti won his opening match against Opelka in four sets. In the second round, Musetti won against Kecmanovic in five tough sets after spending nearly four hours on the court. Lorenzo will be hoping for a solid result here in New York to secure his place in the top 20. Last year in New York, Musetti lost to Droguet in five sets in the opening round.

Best bet

According to the bookmakers, Nakashima is the slight favorite in this duel. So far in the tournament, Brandon has shown better tennis than Musetti. Lorenzo has spent significantly more time on the court than Nakashima. We expect Brandon to be well rested and to be dangerous against Musetti from the start.

Apart from that, A Nakashima win is a worthwhile bet.

Value Bet/best odds: Brandon Nakashima wins @1.62 @bet365

Photo credit: John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

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