Last Call – A primetime read on current political events in Florida.

First shot

According to the latest survey by the Economist/YouGov.

The poll, conducted August 25-27, found Vice President Kamala Harris with a narrow lead over the former president. Donald Trump, 47%–45%.

The two percentage point gap has become normal recently. Harris was also two percentage points ahead in her debut as the leading Democrat in the Economist’s weekly poll. Her lead was briefly three percent, but that can hardly be called a wobble.

The number of undecideds and third-party voters has shifted in recent weeks. Earlier this month, 12 percent of respondents said they were unsure or would choose one of the losers.

Now only 5% are undecided, with the remaining 3% spread out over the tomato cans – and that number is likely to drop by a point or two after RFK Jr. abandons his campaign like a roadkill. It’s worth noting that the prodigal adult son is performing rather below average in the Economist poll, where he gets just 1%, compared to the 3-5% he gets in other polls.

A positive sign for Harris could be the fact that 53 percent of voters would consider voting for her. Trump voters and Trump-curious voters together make up 50 percent, and just as many think he is a no-go.

The Economist/YouGov poll included a sample of 1,555 voters and a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percent.

Evening reading

—”Pro-Donald Trump officials in Georgia have issued new rules to deny election results” via Justin Glawe from Rolling Stone

—”How does Kamala Harris get away with this?” about Christian Paz from Vox

—“Harris’ election would be a contradiction in history. Since 1836, only one sitting vice president has been elected president.“via The Associated Press

—”Trump’s visit to Arlington Cemetery triggers alleged dispute with his staff” via Dan Lamothe, Hannah Knowles and Alex Horton of the Washington Post

—“Democrats are pursuing a high-risk, high-reward strategy in Georgia“via Myah Ward of POLITICO

—”Seven questions that should be easy for Harris to answer” via Conor Friedersdorf of The Atlantic

—”How 538 is adjusting our election model for Harris against Trump” via G. Elliott Morris of FiveThirtyEight

—”Far from the presidential election campaigns, the Democratic states could determine Congress” via Nicholas Fandos and Catie Edmondson of the New York Times

—“Ron DeSantis says state parks plan is “unripe” and “not yet mature”” via Bill Kearney of the Orlando Sentinel

—”DeSantis pulls the plug on golf courses in state park plan after public backlash” via Alex Harris and Ana Ceballos of the Miami Herald

—“Do the Florida school board elections mean the end of Moms for Liberty?” via Jeffrey S. Solochek of the Tampa Bay Times

Quote of the day

“What was absolutely clear: Section 60, no photos and no video.”

– A U.S. Department of Defense official on the dispute between the Trump campaign and an Arlington Cemetery employee.

Put it on the tab

Look left, then right. If you see one of these people at your happy hour joint, flag down the bartender and add one to your bill. Recipes included, in case the Cocktail Codex falls down the fountain.

Trump and Harris each receive No. 47 — not because they are the 47th President, but because they are bound 47%-47% in Miami-Dade.

No one from Lake Mary’s Little League championship team will be able to drink a cocktail this decade, but a few Disney dollars and a Shirley Temple would their journey after the tournament something more special.

After correctly predicting the HD 72 as the primary value, the team at M3 Strategies Open a business in the Sunshine State. Welcome them with Key Lime Pie Martini.

Groundbreaking insights

Turn on

Battle for the final: Marlins meet Rockies

The two teams with the worst records in the National League meet tonight in Denver when the Miami Marlins complete a three-game series against the Colorado Rockies (8:40 p.m. ET, Bally Sports Florida).

Miami (48-84) and Colorado (49-84) split the first two games of the series, with the Marlins losing the first game 3-2 on Monday before beating the Rockies 9-8 last night. Miami can climb out of the National League basement with a win tonight.

Both teams are projected to lose over 100 games this season. Miami has one of the National League’s toughest remaining schedules. With 30 games remaining, the Marlins’ opponents have a combined winning percentage of .507. However, Colorado has the league’s second-toughest remaining schedule, with a winning percentage of .537. Colorado and Miami will face the Los Angeles Dodgers and Atlanta Braves, respectively, in separate three-game series. However, the Rockies will also face the Baltimore Orioles, Milwaukee Brewers, Arizona Diamondbacks and Chicago Cubs, all of whom have winning records. The Marlins’ remaining winning teams include the Philadelphia Phillies, Minnesota Twins and San Francisco Giants.

If Miami can win tonight, it will have a half-game lead over the Rockies and the franchise will be trying to avoid the worst record in the National League.

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Last Call is published by Peter Schorschcompiled and edited by Phil Amman And Drew Wilsonwith contributions from Florida Politics staff.

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